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My brother,
nine years older than me, graduated from college with an economics
degree in 1974. As he neared the end of his college career,
I remember reading a research paper he had written regarding
shale
oil and how it could be extracted. Shale oil is more difficult
to extract and refine than crude oil. As a result, shale oil
is rarely extracted until the price of extracting crude oil
reaches the same costs as extracting shale oil. The point
being that even a college student could see that the increasing
power of OPEC and the potential for a dramatic shift in the
supply and demand of oil made shale oil a viable alternative
to crude oil.
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M.
King Hubbert
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Several
years later, while I was in high school and experiencing gas
lines and rocketing
fuel prices (thanks OPEC!), I stumbled across Hubberts
Pimple in a current events class. While it is an odd moniker
(and completely unrelated to my use of Clearasil during those
same years), its a mathematical proof of M. King Hubberts
assertion that most of the worlds reserves of oil will
be exhausted sometime in the first half of the 21st century.
Later, he applied the same principle to other non-renewable
natural resources. Hubbert originally presented his theory
in 1949, provided mathematical proof in 1956, and
his principle is still widely used today. Keep in mind that
Hubbert wasn't some left wing crackpot, but was a widely respected
geologist with Shell Oil and then spent 12 years with the
US Geological Survey.
As one
might have expected, American society mocked Hubbert. In the
early Atomic Age, we were comfortable with expanding personal
wealth and immense world influence. Our chests were puffed
up with pride from saving the world for democracy and staring
down the Red Menace. Hubberts Pimple was an inconvenience
simply too distasteful for a country in love with driving
big cars on an ever-expanding highway system. Note: For more
information about this subject, read Arthur
J. Magidas editorial.
The
Alaska Pipeline, the subject of a recent PBS
documentary, was started amid great environmental concern
in 1974. The promise of an almost inexhaustible supply of
oil and a return to cheap gasoline was nearly so tempting
that as a nation we were willing to risk our last remaining
pristine frontier. While the pipeline was made safe (thanks
to roundly vilified environmentalists), a return to cheap
gasoline was merely a pipedream. Oh, and then there was the
Exxon Valdez...
By now
Im sure you see where Im going with the history
lesson. This country has had the opportunity for over 50 years
to examine how and why we consume oil so gluttonously. Why
havent these questions been answered? Is it lack of
imagination? Perhaps the subject is over-shadowed by more
pressing needs? Or is it simply a continuation of the comfortable
feeling we had way back in the 1950s?
As a nation,
isnt it about time we began to explore alternative
sources of energy more thoroughly? While were fighting
about eminent domain, perhaps we could require that new building
as a result of eminent domain uses some alternate energy source.
Why havent we insisted that automobile builders provide
hybrid cars at the same price as their gas-powered twins?
Why arent all new government buildings required to use
some form of solar energy? The list of possibilities goes
on forever, yet no one ever devises a comprehensive plan to
reduce our dependence on foreign oil...
Frankly,
I believe that gridlock is the culprit. The industrial machine
that catapulted this country into world dominance is now defined
by the oil and auto industries. And these are the very industries
that seemingly aren't nimble enough to look at the world economy
and make an adjustment. Yet, they are the very companies that
seem to have unyielding access to our elected officials. They
are the very companies that seem to have unlimited funds for
our congressman's reelection campaign.
When Eisenhower
warned us about the Military/Industrial complex, he was
only partially right. Big Oil is the enemy of freedom and
the Auto industry is the gatekeeper. Until these two bend
to the new paradigm of the world economy, our nation's future
is at risk.
Note:
A 1960
movie featuring John Wayne and the title song by Johnny
Horton. I couldn't resist the urge to include this movie
reference.
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